The life cycle of an average car lasts seven to eight years. Breaking down that time period, we observe four distinct phases: introduction, growth, maturity, and decline. A mid-cycle refresh, after about three or four years of sales, reaches a maturity stage. That helps products stay fresh without a big investment.
Many important cars in Europe and the United States will be seven or eight years old in 2023. Most are very popular models, presented or launched between 2015 and 2016. Will we see a new generation of these vehicles soon? Below are the answers, broken down by manufacturer.
BMW Group
The next generation of the BMW 5 Series should be one of the most important presentations of 2023. The current G30 series was launched in October 2016 and thus the brand could present its next version at the end of next year. The same goes for the Mini brothers, Clubman and Countryman.
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Although Ford has announced there will be no next-generation Fiesta, the iconic little car will be seven years old in November 2023. In the United States, meanwhile, the public is expected to see the new Lincoln Nautilus first unveiled. in January 2015 as the Lincoln MKX.
volvo
It’s not yet clear whether Volvo will continue to market its flagship S90 sedan as we know it today. The Swedish big sedan was presented in December 2015 and could follow the same fate as the XC90 by switching to an all-electric generation. The same fate could also befall the station wagon version, the V90, which has been on the market since February 2016.
General machine
Speaking of GM, Cadillac is too late to replace the XT5, which will be eight years old in the United States next year. On the Chevrolet front, however, it’s unclear whether a new-generation Camaro will arrive. The Mustang fighter made its debut in 2015, and rumors have persisted for years that it could be scrapped when the current generation ends.
There is still no news about the future of the Chevrolet Equinox, the current generation which has been marketed since September 2016 in the US. The brand, we recall, recently presented the Equinox EV. Therefore the petrol version could last for a few more years.
Hyundai-Kia
In South Korea, the Hyundai Accent / Kia Rio duo is aging and Hyundai is expected to replace the two, at least in key markets, over the next year.
Moving on, in Europe, the Hyundai i30 will be seven years old in September 2023. Being a flagship model, there should be a direct heir, which we can see first with a few teasers.
Mercedes-Benz
Like the BMW 5 Series, the next-gen Mercedes E-Class rival is also one of the most anticipated introductions of 2023 (the current generation was presented in January 2016). The second generation of the Mercedes GLC Coupé will also arrive next year, following the introduction of a “classic” version last summer.
Nissan
In front of Japan there are three products that are destined to change, but the future is unclear. First was the Infiniti Q60, followed by the Nissan Maxima, and finally the Nissan Micra, all of which are currently in the decline stages of their life cycle. Maxima has been confirmed leaving the US market after 2023, but its global status is unclear. Rumors of the Nissan Titan’s impending demise after 2024 could also mean the exit of a full-size truck.
Renault
At Renault, it should be time for a new Scenic but it’s not certain the minivan will see a new generation as soon as next year. Meanwhile, the Koleos presented in April 2016 is expected to be replaced by the larger version of the newly introduced Austral.
Stellantis Group
The Stellantis Group, with 14 brands, has a lot of work to do in 2023. Alfa Romeo Giulia and Stelvio will be seven and eight years old respectively, as will the Chrysler Pacifica, which was presented in January 2016 and whose facelift was introduced in February 2020 .
Even more important is the case for the third generation Citroen C3, which has been on the market since June 2016 and whose new generation could become one of the French brand’s immediate priorities.
As for Fiat, three of its models will be at least seven years old: the Mobi and Toro in Brazil and the Tipo, revealed in May 2015. After last year’s restyling, the Jeep Compass isn’t expected to receive the new generation anytime soon. , although the current generation was launched in September 2016.
More so than the second generation, the Maserati Levante, which turns seven in March, had to accept a major styling makeover. Finally, Peugeot’s priority is the new generations of 3008 and 5008, which were presented in September 2016. But nothing is certain on that front at the moment.
Jaguar Land Rover
The Jaguar F-Pace turns eight years old in September and being the brand’s flagship product, we’ll see some hints of the new generation later in the year. However, this may not apply to the Jaguar XF which has been on the market since March 2015, and the current generation Land Rover Discovery presented in September 2016.
Tesla
Nobody expected a new generation Tesla Model X even though it has been on the market since September 2015. The Model 3 is almost that old, it was revealed in March 2016 but no new generation in sight. Instead, minor improvements can be made, as Tesla has done with the Model S that has been on sale since 2012.
Toyota
The second generation Toyota C-HR is expected to hit the market in the first half of 2023, when the current generation will be seven years old. Other, more global models, such as the Hilux pickup, will turn eight years old in May, so it’s high time the brand jumps into a new generation, especially after the recent refurbishment of the Ford Ranger and Volkswagen Amarok. The same should happen to the US-market Tacoma, which has been on sale since January 2015.
Volkswagen Group
The Volkswagen Group currently has a total of 15 models which are reaching the decline stage of their commercial life.
Among the most prominent are the Volkswagen Tiguan which has been on sale since September 2015, the Audi A4 which has been in market since June 2015, the Audi Q5 which was launched in September 2016, and the Porsche Panamera, which is the second. generation which was revealed to the public in June 2016.
For other models such as the Audi Q7, Seat Ateca, Skoda Kodiaq, Skoda Superb, Volkswagen Atlas and Porsche 718, new products are also planned throughout the year.
The author of the article, Felipe Munoz, is an Automotive Industry Specialist at JATO dynamics.
